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Red79
801922.6
415322.7
805516.8
Blue59
421921.1
861010.0
125519.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions625402040801001207959

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4153
#20
22.71.5
21.623.1
Auto5.0
Teleop5.8
End12.0
red by 1.7
4219
#21
21.10.5
24.825.3
Auto5.4
Teleop9.4
End6.2
Second
8019
#26
22.61.5
19.220.7
Auto5.2
Teleop9.9
End7.5
red by 2.7
1255
#27
19.90.5
17.117.6
Auto6.8
Teleop7.1
End6.0
Third
8055
#30
16.81.5
16.117.6
Auto5.8
Teleop4.6
End6.4
red by 6.8
8610
#24
10.00.5
9.510.0
Auto3.6
Teleop0.8
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsEarned45%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
77%Hangar oddsEarned80%Hangar oddsEarned