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Red79
11848.1
71258.3
874913.4
Blue64
885819.7
541434.6
35455.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions766220401001207964

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#4
48.10.6
48.348.9
Auto11.7
Teleop22.6
End13.9
red by 13.6
34.60.0
34.034.1
Auto9.8
Teleop16.5
End8.3
Second
8749
#17
13.40.6
13.614.3
Auto3.1
Teleop2.8
End7.6
blue by 6.3
8858
#33
19.70.0
19.719.7
Auto3.8
Teleop10.5
End5.4
Third
7125
#38
8.30.6
7.68.3
Auto2.6
Teleop2.7
End2.9
red by 2.3
3545
#36
5.90.0
5.95.9
Auto3.1
Teleop-0.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
77%Cargo oddsEarned52%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
83%Hangar oddsEarned62%Hangar oddsMissed