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Red60
731213.7
348120.0
32429.9
Blue59
41819.3
436422.7
636922.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50462030406070806059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
324
#12
29.90.9
22.623.5
Auto8.9
Teleop12.6
End8.4
red by 7.1
6369
#15
22.81.0
17.318.3
Auto8.1
Teleop5.4
End9.3
Second
3481
#16
20.00.9
17.118.0
Auto3.9
Teleop9.6
End6.4
blue by 2.7
4364
#11
22.71.0
14.315.3
Auto5.1
Teleop9.9
End7.7
Third
7312
#21
13.70.9
6.47.3
Auto4.0
Teleop7.6
End2.0
blue by 5.7
418
#19
19.31.0
12.213.2
Auto5.2
Teleop5.4
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsEarned5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsMissed49%Hangar oddsEarned