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Red95
419229.4
406332.9
817738.4
Blue108
636922.8
129626.0
384745.5
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions848620406010012014016095108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.41.0
30.531.5
Auto10.7
Teleop14.3
End13.4
blue by 7.1
45.51.6
40.842.4
Auto11.4
Teleop25.7
End8.4
Second
32.91.0
27.628.7
Auto7.1
Teleop21.1
End4.7
red by 6.8
1296
#22
26.01.6
21.423.0
Auto10.5
Teleop15.0
End0.5
Third
4192
#18
29.41.0
21.422.4
Auto7.3
Teleop12.4
End9.8
red by 6.6
6369
#15
22.81.6
18.319.9
Auto8.1
Teleop5.4
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
43%Cargo oddsEarned44%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
91%Hangar oddsMissed67%Hangar oddsEarned