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Red83
667235.7
524214.9
857319.7
Blue60
731213.7
436422.7
572615.8
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions603402040808360

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.72.0
25.928.0
Auto8.4
Teleop17.0
End10.3
red by 13.0
4364
#11
22.71.6
15.317.0
Auto5.1
Teleop9.9
End7.7
Second
8573
#36
19.72.0
15.417.5
Auto6.0
Teleop6.9
End6.8
red by 3.8
5726
#37
15.81.6
12.814.5
Auto4.8
Teleop5.3
End5.7
Third
5242
#34
14.92.0
11.313.3
Auto4.3
Teleop6.9
End3.6
red by 1.2
7312
#21
13.71.6
7.39.0
Auto4.0
Teleop7.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsEarned15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
82%Hangar oddsEarned27%Hangar oddsEarned