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Red81
62448.5
41819.3
473413.6
Blue58
268921.4
557225.5
268732.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7575607080901008158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#2
48.50.2
43.643.8
Auto15.6
Teleop24.1
End8.9
red by 16.5
2687
#10
32.00.9
28.327.5
Auto8.7
Teleop13.5
End9.8
Second
418
#19
19.30.2
14.414.6
Auto5.2
Teleop5.4
End8.7
blue by 6.2
5572
#24
25.50.9
23.522.7
Auto9.7
Teleop8.2
End7.6
Third
4734
#27
13.60.2
12.212.3
Auto4.9
Teleop3.7
End5.0
blue by 7.9
2689
#13
21.40.9
18.918.1
Auto5.3
Teleop10.2
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
62%Cargo oddsMissed55%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
83%Hangar oddsEarned83%Hangar oddsMissed