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Red59
30298.8
637729.7
572615.8
Blue68
543131.3
837014.3
419229.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions516002040801005968

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6377
#28
29.70.7
25.626.3
Auto9.7
Teleop11.8
End8.2
blue by 1.6
31.30.6
21.522.1
Auto6.3
Teleop15.3
End9.7
Second
5726
#37
15.80.7
14.515.1
Auto4.8
Teleop5.3
End5.7
blue by 13.6
4192
#18
29.40.6
22.423.0
Auto7.3
Teleop12.4
End9.8
Third
3029
#40
8.80.7
8.99.6
Auto3.1
Teleop2.2
End3.5
blue by 5.5
8370
#25
14.30.6
11.011.6
Auto5.9
Teleop3.8
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed21%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
66%Hangar oddsMissed73%Hangar oddsMissed