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Red86
300545.7
582923.3
524214.9
Blue92
268921.4
62448.5
761615.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73850501001502008692

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.71.1
40.941.9
Auto12.2
Teleop25.7
End7.8
blue by 2.9
624
#2
48.50.6
43.844.4
Auto15.6
Teleop24.1
End8.9
Second
5829
#31
23.31.1
15.917.0
Auto5.8
Teleop11.8
End5.7
red by 1.9
2689
#13
21.40.6
18.118.7
Auto5.3
Teleop10.2
End5.9
Third
5242
#34
14.91.1
13.314.4
Auto4.3
Teleop6.9
End3.6
blue by 0.5
7616
#26
15.40.6
16.517.2
Auto3.4
Teleop4.3
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
32%Cargo oddsEarned85%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
82%Hangar oddsEarned93%Hangar oddsEarned