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Red107
852818.5
712124.7
331058.5
Blue77
147731.1
367917.7
303525.3
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions917140608010012014010777

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.51.6
54.456.0
Auto13.3
Teleop31.3
End13.9
red by 27.4
1477
#14
31.10.5
29.530.0
Auto7.6
Teleop15.2
End8.3
Second
7121
#30
24.71.6
16.518.1
Auto9.2
Teleop7.4
End8.2
blue by 0.6
3035
#39
25.30.5
23.023.5
Auto8.1
Teleop11.3
End5.9
Third
8528
#17
18.51.6
12.313.8
Auto7.3
Teleop7.3
End3.9
red by 0.8
3679
#35
17.70.5
16.817.3
Auto5.8
Teleop7.0
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
90%Cargo oddsEarned53%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
72%Hangar oddsEarned83%Hangar oddsEarned