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Red35
881913.7
852818.5
524214.9
Blue55
348120.0
419229.4
30298.8
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4159020801003555

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8528
#17
18.50.4
15.314.9
Auto7.3
Teleop7.3
End3.9
blue by 10.9
4192
#18
29.40.1
25.025.1
Auto7.3
Teleop12.4
End9.8
Second
5242
#34
14.90.4
15.014.6
Auto4.3
Teleop6.9
End3.6
blue by 5.1
3481
#16
20.00.1
19.519.6
Auto3.9
Teleop9.6
End6.4
Third
8819
#33
13.70.4
10.39.9
Auto4.7
Teleop6.2
End2.9
red by 5.0
3029
#40
8.80.1
8.99.0
Auto3.1
Teleop2.2
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
22%Cargo oddsEarned39%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsMissed67%Hangar oddsEarned