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Red160
268732.0
331058.5
543131.3
Blue101
750619.3
857319.7
300545.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124764060100140160160101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.53.3
57.360.6
Auto13.3
Teleop31.3
End13.9
red by 12.8
45.71.6
45.046.6
Auto12.2
Teleop25.7
End7.8
Second
2687
#10
32.03.3
28.631.9
Auto8.7
Teleop13.5
End9.8
red by 12.3
8573
#36
19.71.6
17.218.8
Auto6.0
Teleop6.9
End6.8
Third
31.33.3
24.327.6
Auto6.3
Teleop15.3
End9.7
red by 12.0
7506
#23
19.31.6
15.016.6
Auto5.2
Teleop5.0
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
94%Cargo oddsEarned27%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
98%Hangar oddsEarned86%Hangar oddsEarned