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Red107
300545.7
348120.0
268921.4
Blue67
857319.7
406332.9
30298.8
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9859408012014016010767

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.71.0
46.647.7
Auto12.2
Teleop25.7
End7.8
red by 12.8
32.90.2
32.432.5
Auto7.1
Teleop21.1
End4.7
Second
2689
#13
21.41.0
21.022.1
Auto5.3
Teleop10.2
End5.9
red by 1.7
8573
#36
19.70.2
18.819.0
Auto6.0
Teleop6.9
End6.8
Third
3481
#16
20.01.0
19.620.7
Auto3.9
Teleop9.6
End6.4
red by 11.2
3029
#40
8.80.2
9.09.2
Auto3.1
Teleop2.2
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
84%Cargo oddsEarned32%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
78%Hangar oddsEarned69%Hangar oddsMissed