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Red67
543131.3
636922.8
731213.7
Blue52
129626.0
852818.5
761615.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions715940801001206752

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.30.1
27.727.8
Auto6.3
Teleop15.3
End9.7
red by 5.2
1296
#22
26.01.1
24.923.7
Auto10.5
Teleop15.0
End0.5
Second
6369
#15
22.80.1
23.723.8
Auto8.1
Teleop5.4
End9.3
red by 4.3
8528
#17
18.51.1
15.514.3
Auto7.3
Teleop7.3
End3.9
Third
7312
#21
13.70.1
14.114.2
Auto4.0
Teleop7.6
End2.0
blue by 1.8
7616
#26
15.41.1
16.715.6
Auto3.4
Teleop4.3
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
24%Cargo oddsMissed58%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
76%Hangar oddsMissed50%Hangar oddsMissed