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Red79
55038.9
543131.3
852818.5
Blue63
881913.7
572615.8
406332.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5370204060801001207963

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.31.3
27.829.1
Auto6.3
Teleop15.3
End9.7
blue by 1.6
32.90.3
32.131.8
Auto7.1
Teleop21.1
End4.7
Second
8528
#17
18.51.3
14.315.6
Auto7.3
Teleop7.3
End3.9
red by 2.6
5726
#37
15.80.3
18.418.1
Auto4.8
Teleop5.3
End5.7
Third
5503
#38
8.91.3
9.811.0
Auto2.3
Teleop3.4
End3.2
blue by 4.8
8819
#33
13.70.3
13.012.7
Auto4.7
Teleop6.2
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
45%Cargo oddsEarned58%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
38%Hangar oddsEarned30%Hangar oddsEarned