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Red57
572615.8
561314.7
331058.5
Blue142
750619.3
817738.4
62448.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101108608012014016057142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.52.9
61.858.9
Auto13.3
Teleop31.3
End13.9
red by 9.9
624
#2
48.51.4
46.147.6
Auto15.6
Teleop24.1
End8.9
Second
5726
#37
15.82.9
18.115.2
Auto4.8
Teleop5.3
End5.7
blue by 22.6
38.41.4
36.638.1
Auto10.7
Teleop14.3
End13.4
Third
5613
#20
14.72.9
16.113.3
Auto3.8
Teleop7.5
End3.3
blue by 4.5
7506
#23
19.31.4
17.719.1
Auto5.2
Teleop5.0
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
96%Cargo oddsMissed90%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
85%Hangar oddsEarned95%Hangar oddsEarned