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Red74
384745.5
55038.9
637729.7
Blue91
582923.3
268732.0
852818.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98684060801201407491

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.50.9
45.844.8
Auto11.4
Teleop25.7
End8.4
red by 13.5
2687
#10
32.01.5
32.834.4
Auto8.7
Teleop13.5
End9.8
Second
6377
#28
29.70.9
31.330.3
Auto9.7
Teleop11.8
End8.2
red by 6.4
5829
#31
23.31.5
19.521.0
Auto5.8
Teleop11.8
End5.7
Third
5503
#38
8.90.9
11.010.1
Auto2.3
Teleop3.4
End3.2
blue by 9.5
8528
#17
18.51.5
15.617.1
Auto7.3
Teleop7.3
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
77%Cargo oddsMissed73%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
78%Hangar oddsEarned62%Hangar oddsEarned