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Red68
300545.7
55038.9
268732.0
Blue78
406332.9
761615.4
436422.7
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105714060801201401606878

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.71.7
49.748.0
Auto12.2
Teleop25.7
End7.8
red by 12.8
32.90.1
31.431.3
Auto7.1
Teleop21.1
End4.7
Second
2687
#10
32.01.7
34.432.6
Auto8.7
Teleop13.5
End9.8
red by 9.3
4364
#11
22.70.1
24.324.3
Auto5.1
Teleop9.9
End7.7
Third
5503
#38
8.91.7
10.18.3
Auto2.3
Teleop3.4
End3.2
blue by 6.5
7616
#26
15.40.1
15.515.4
Auto3.4
Teleop4.3
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
71%Cargo oddsEarned57%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
88%Hangar oddsMissed87%Hangar oddsEarned