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Red124
667235.7
147731.1
419229.4
Blue86
582923.3
373526.1
32429.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9875406012014012486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.72.3
33.135.5
Auto8.4
Teleop17.0
End10.3
red by 5.8
324
#12
29.90.8
28.629.4
Auto8.9
Teleop12.6
End8.4
Second
1477
#14
31.12.3
30.833.1
Auto7.6
Teleop15.2
End8.3
red by 5.0
26.10.8
24.124.9
Auto7.0
Teleop9.3
End9.8
Third
4192
#18
29.42.3
25.027.3
Auto7.3
Teleop12.4
End9.8
red by 6.1
5829
#31
23.30.8
21.021.8
Auto5.8
Teleop11.8
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
85%Cargo oddsEarned45%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
94%Hangar oddsEarned85%Hangar oddsEarned