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Red63
147731.1
268921.4
310318.0
Blue90
557225.5
750619.3
852818.5
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions855920401001201406390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1477
#14
31.11.7
33.131.4
Auto7.6
Teleop15.2
End8.3
red by 5.6
5572
#24
25.51.8
24.626.4
Auto9.7
Teleop8.2
End7.6
Second
2689
#13
21.41.7
23.121.4
Auto5.3
Teleop10.2
End5.9
red by 2.2
7506
#23
19.31.8
17.819.6
Auto5.2
Teleop5.0
End9.1
Third
3103
#29
18.01.7
20.518.8
Auto3.4
Teleop3.1
End11.5
blue by 0.5
8528
#17
18.51.8
16.718.5
Auto7.3
Teleop7.3
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
75%Cargo oddsMissed51%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
94%Hangar oddsEarned52%Hangar oddsEarned