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Red65
857319.7
761615.4
303525.3
Blue119
384745.5
419229.4
367917.7
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions619720408012014016065119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3035
#39
25.30.2
27.027.2
Auto8.1
Teleop11.3
End5.9
blue by 20.1
45.52.2
43.545.7
Auto11.4
Teleop25.7
End8.4
Second
8573
#36
19.70.2
19.519.7
Auto6.0
Teleop6.9
End6.8
blue by 9.7
4192
#18
29.42.2
27.329.5
Auto7.3
Teleop12.4
End9.8
Third
7616
#26
15.40.2
15.415.6
Auto3.4
Teleop4.3
End7.7
blue by 2.2
3679
#35
17.72.2
15.517.7
Auto5.8
Teleop7.0
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
29%Cargo oddsMissed82%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
85%Hangar oddsEarned85%Hangar oddsEarned