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Red35
384733.8
55037.6
12968.8
Blue51
258218.1
808810.5
557222.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36341020304050603551

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.80.1
17.217.4
Auto8.8
Teleop18.3
End6.7
red by 11.2
22.71.6
11.913.5
Auto6.9
Teleop7.5
End8.3
Second
1296
#28
8.80.1
9.39.4
Auto4.2
Teleop1.2
End3.4
blue by 9.3
2582
#10
18.11.6
14.215.8
Auto5.4
Teleop3.6
End9.1
Third
5503
#30
7.60.1
7.27.4
Auto3.2
Teleop4.1
End0.3
blue by 2.8
8088
#15
10.51.6
6.48.0
Auto3.6
Teleop2.4
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsMissed53%Hangar oddsEarned