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Red28
278910.2
406323.8
86103.9
Blue12
57269.5
55037.6
34818.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3130010204050602812

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.80.0
11.911.9
Auto5.6
Teleop13.3
End4.9
red by 14.3
9.51.8
8.56.7
Auto1.5
Teleop4.6
End3.4
Second
2789
#18
10.20.0
8.38.3
Auto2.7
Teleop4.9
End2.7
red by 1.5
3481
#26
8.71.8
11.39.5
Auto2.2
Teleop2.9
End3.7
Third
8610
#22
3.91.9
10.08.1
Auto2.6
Teleop1.0
End0.4
blue by 3.7
5503
#30
7.61.8
8.86.9
Auto3.2
Teleop4.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed24%Hangar oddsMissed