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Red39
63573.3
680036.2
419217.8
Blue37
421916.9
57269.5
37356.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions382901020506070803937

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.20.4
17.517.1
Auto7.1
Teleop18.8
End10.3
red by 19.2
16.90.5
12.613.1
Auto4.7
Teleop4.2
End7.9
Second
17.80.4
11.010.6
Auto4.2
Teleop5.8
End7.8
red by 8.3
9.50.5
5.55.9
Auto1.5
Teleop4.6
End3.4
Third
6357
#29
3.30.4
6.15.7
Auto3.0
Teleop1.0
End-0.6
blue by 3.4
3735
#23
6.70.5
10.611.1
Auto2.9
Teleop2.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
35%Hangar oddsMissed39%Hangar oddsEarned