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Red32
419217.8
278910.2
808810.5
Blue37
76218.6
174514.8
367913.3
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2931102040503237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.80.5
10.210.6
Auto4.2
Teleop5.8
End7.8
red by 3.0
14.80.0
11.811.8
Auto2.4
Teleop5.0
End7.4
Second
8088
#15
10.50.5
8.99.4
Auto3.6
Teleop2.4
End4.5
blue by 2.8
3679
#13
13.30.0
14.714.7
Auto5.6
Teleop4.6
End3.0
Third
2789
#18
10.20.5
8.59.0
Auto2.7
Teleop4.9
End2.7
red by 1.6
8.60.0
2.42.4
Auto1.0
Teleop3.9
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
50%Hangar oddsEarned33%Hangar oddsEarned