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Red29
75217.8
805511.7
43287.0
Blue23
55037.6
63573.3
38348.2
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions222051015253035402923

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8055
#11
11.71.0
9.210.1
Auto2.1
Teleop2.9
End6.6
red by 3.5
3834
#19
8.20.5
7.97.4
Auto2.8
Teleop1.1
End4.3
Second
7521
#24
7.81.0
4.45.3
Auto4.3
Teleop4.0
End-0.5
red by 0.2
5503
#30
7.60.5
6.25.7
Auto3.2
Teleop4.1
End0.3
Third
4328
#21
7.01.0
6.77.7
Auto1.1
Teleop3.7
End2.1
red by 3.7
6357
#29
3.30.5
5.34.8
Auto3.0
Teleop1.0
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsMissed21%Hangar oddsMissed