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Red38
38348.2
61557.4
258218.1
Blue21
86103.9
367913.3
57269.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36280102040506070803821

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2582
#10
18.10.5
15.816.3
Auto5.4
Teleop3.6
End9.1
red by 4.8
3679
#13
13.30.6
15.114.6
Auto5.6
Teleop4.6
End3.0
Second
3834
#19
8.20.5
8.89.3
Auto2.8
Teleop1.1
End4.3
blue by 1.3
9.50.6
6.55.9
Auto1.5
Teleop4.6
End3.4
Third
6155
#17
7.40.5
8.28.7
Auto3.4
Teleop3.5
End0.4
red by 3.5
8610
#22
3.90.6
5.34.8
Auto2.6
Teleop1.0
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsEarned24%Hangar oddsMissed