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Red40
811411.8
37356.7
473411.3
Blue27
174514.8
12968.8
75217.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2933010204050604027

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8114
#14
11.80.0
10.310.3
Auto2.4
Teleop1.8
End7.5
blue by 3.1
14.80.3
14.013.7
Auto2.4
Teleop5.0
End7.4
Second
4734
#12
11.30.0
11.311.3
Auto3.4
Teleop3.2
End4.7
red by 2.5
1296
#28
8.80.3
8.78.4
Auto4.2
Teleop1.2
End3.4
Third
3735
#23
6.70.0
6.36.3
Auto2.9
Teleop2.0
End1.8
blue by 1.1
7521
#24
7.80.3
7.47.1
Auto4.3
Teleop4.0
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
48%Hangar oddsEarned32%Hangar oddsMissed