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Red75
805511.7
57269.5
680036.2
Blue43
12968.8
258218.1
473411.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51382060801007543

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.22.3
29.531.8
Auto7.1
Teleop18.8
End10.3
red by 18.1
2582
#10
18.10.5
16.216.7
Auto5.4
Teleop3.6
End9.1
Second
8055
#11
11.72.3
9.812.2
Auto2.1
Teleop2.9
End6.6
red by 0.4
4734
#12
11.30.6
11.311.9
Auto3.4
Teleop3.2
End4.7
Third
9.52.3
7.19.4
Auto1.5
Teleop4.6
End3.4
red by 0.7
1296
#28
8.80.5
9.610.1
Auto4.2
Teleop1.2
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsEarned7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
37%Hangar oddsEarned43%Hangar oddsEarned