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Red13
61557.4
12968.8
278910.2
Blue42
473411.3
406323.8
63573.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33391020506070801342

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2789
#18
10.21.5
12.511.0
Auto2.7
Teleop4.9
End2.7
blue by 13.5
23.80.5
21.121.6
Auto5.6
Teleop13.3
End4.9
Second
1296
#28
8.81.4
10.18.7
Auto4.2
Teleop1.2
End3.4
blue by 2.5
4734
#12
11.30.6
11.912.4
Auto3.4
Teleop3.2
End4.7
Third
6155
#17
7.41.4
8.97.5
Auto3.4
Teleop3.5
End0.4
red by 4.1
6357
#29
3.30.5
2.83.3
Auto3.0
Teleop1.0
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsMissed20%Hangar oddsMissed