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Red85
419217.8
811411.8
384733.8
Blue34
86103.9
557222.7
367913.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions584420808534

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.82.5
26.529.0
Auto8.8
Teleop18.3
End6.7
red by 11.2
22.71.1
24.023.0
Auto6.9
Teleop7.5
End8.3
Second
17.82.1
15.717.8
Auto4.2
Teleop5.8
End7.8
red by 4.6
3679
#13
13.31.0
14.013.0
Auto5.6
Teleop4.6
End3.0
Third
8114
#14
11.82.1
10.212.3
Auto2.4
Teleop1.8
End7.5
red by 7.8
8610
#22
3.91.0
4.93.9
Auto2.6
Teleop1.0
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsEarned23%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
82%Hangar oddsEarned45%Hangar oddsMissed