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Red53
589215.9
174521.3
63699.2
Blue20
754010.1
415316.2
88168.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions473902060801005320

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.30.1
20.220.3
Auto5.0
Teleop8.3
End8.0
red by 5.1
16.20.4
17.016.6
Auto4.1
Teleop6.8
End5.3
Second
5892
#24
15.90.1
14.814.9
Auto4.8
Teleop11.5
End-0.4
red by 5.8
7540
#11
10.10.4
10.910.5
Auto5.5
Teleop3.8
End0.8
Third
6369
#27
9.20.1
8.18.3
Auto5.2
Teleop2.3
End1.7
red by 0.3
8816
#16
8.90.4
9.89.3
Auto2.9
Teleop5.3
End0.7