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Red46
129620.5
419220.3
753411.7
Blue44
80198.1
805515.3
750313.9
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions593620801004644

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.50.2
20.520.2
Auto10.0
Teleop7.7
End2.8
red by 5.2
15.30.2
15.115.3
Auto4.5
Teleop3.9
End6.9
Second
20.30.2
20.220.0
Auto5.3
Teleop5.3
End9.7
red by 6.4
7503
#25
13.90.2
13.713.9
Auto5.2
Teleop5.0
End3.6
Third
7534
#13
11.70.2
11.711.5
Auto4.0
Teleop3.9
End3.7
red by 3.6
8019
#14
8.10.2
7.98.1
Auto3.2
Teleop1.7
End3.2