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Red48
464112.3
88168.9
258228.9
Blue8
676812.2
85987.2
71197.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34290102040506070488

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.91.1
19.220.3
Auto8.7
Teleop9.6
End10.6
red by 16.7
6768
#10
12.22.2
10.78.5
Auto4.3
Teleop5.7
End2.2
Second
4641
#17
12.31.8
9.110.9
Auto1.9
Teleop3.6
End6.7
red by 4.9
7119
#26
7.42.2
6.94.7
Auto2.4
Teleop3.4
End1.6
Third
8816
#16
8.91.8
3.25.1
Auto2.9
Teleop5.3
End0.7
red by 1.7
8598
#19
7.22.2
10.28.0
Auto2.6
Teleop0.2
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
33%Hangar oddsMissed7%Hangar oddsMissed