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Red32
300537.4
70917.2
75067.4
Blue31
805515.3
419220.3
33556.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434225303540455055603231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.40.8
27.426.6
Auto9.7
Teleop17.5
End10.2
red by 17.1
20.30.6
19.919.3
Auto5.3
Teleop5.3
End9.7
Second
7506
#18
7.41.3
7.86.5
Auto3.1
Teleop2.2
End2.1
blue by 7.9
15.30.6
12.612.0
Auto4.5
Teleop3.9
End6.9
Third
7091
#28
7.21.3
4.83.5
Auto5.9
Teleop2.0
End-0.7
red by 0.4
3355
#30
6.81.0
7.16.2
Auto2.3
Teleop3.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed18%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsMissed66%Hangar oddsMissed