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Red40
690114.5
80198.1
541112.3
Blue59
258228.9
415316.2
88747.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34401020305060704059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6901
#20
14.50.8
11.612.4
Auto4.7
Teleop5.1
End4.7
blue by 14.4
28.91.5
20.321.8
Auto8.7
Teleop9.6
End10.6
Second
5411
#12
12.30.8
13.113.9
Auto2.7
Teleop1.3
End8.3
blue by 4.0
16.22.5
7.09.5
Auto4.1
Teleop6.8
End5.3
Third
8019
#14
8.10.8
8.18.9
Auto3.2
Teleop1.7
End3.2
red by 0.1
8874
#22
7.92.5
9.512.0
Auto3.3
Teleop2.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsEarned37%Hangar oddsMissed