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Red42
71197.4
33556.8
129620.5
Blue52
75355.5
464112.3
419220.3
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26440102030405060704252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.50.8
16.216.9
Auto10.0
Teleop7.7
End2.8
red by 0.2
20.30.9
19.019.9
Auto5.3
Teleop5.3
End9.7
Second
7119
#26
7.41.3
4.96.1
Auto2.4
Teleop3.4
End1.6
blue by 4.9
4641
#17
12.31.5
11.112.5
Auto1.9
Teleop3.6
End6.7
Third
3355
#30
6.81.3
5.66.9
Auto2.3
Teleop3.9
End0.6
red by 1.3
7535
#23
5.51.5
8.810.3
Auto1.6
Teleop1.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
9%Hangar oddsMissed30%Hangar oddsEarned