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Red16
88747.9
754010.1
731910.0
Blue61
415316.2
667223.3
174521.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3550204060801661

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7540
#11
10.12.0
11.99.8
Auto5.5
Teleop3.8
End0.8
blue by 13.1
23.31.8
17.519.4
Auto6.3
Teleop8.2
End8.8
Second
7319
#15
10.02.0
10.58.5
Auto4.3
Teleop3.0
End2.6
blue by 11.3
21.31.1
17.618.7
Auto5.0
Teleop8.3
End8.0
Third
8874
#22
7.92.0
12.09.9
Auto3.3
Teleop2.1
End2.5
blue by 8.3
16.21.8
9.511.3
Auto4.1
Teleop6.8
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
35%Hangar oddsMissed39%Hangar oddsEarned