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Red45
415316.2
754010.1
805515.3
Blue48
541112.3
129620.5
419220.3
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions335802040804548

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.21.2
11.312.5
Auto4.1
Teleop6.8
End5.3
blue by 4.3
20.50.2
16.916.7
Auto10.0
Teleop7.7
End2.8
Second
15.30.7
12.813.5
Auto4.5
Teleop3.9
End6.9
blue by 5.0
20.30.2
19.919.7
Auto5.3
Teleop5.3
End9.7
Third
7540
#11
10.11.2
9.811.0
Auto5.5
Teleop3.8
End0.8
blue by 2.2
5411
#12
12.30.3
14.314.0
Auto2.7
Teleop1.3
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsMissed56%Hangar oddsEarned