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Red45
667223.3
541112.3
85987.2
Blue45
88168.9
88427.4
419220.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions483902060804545

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.3
Auto6.3
Teleop8.2
End8.8
red by 3.0
20.3
Auto5.3
Teleop5.3
End9.7
Second
5411
#12
12.3
Auto2.7
Teleop1.3
End8.3
red by 3.4
8816
#16
8.9
Auto2.9
Teleop5.3
End0.7
Third
8598
#19
7.2
Auto2.6
Teleop0.2
End4.4
blue by 0.2
8842
#29
7.4
Auto2.3
Teleop1.6
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
54%Hangar oddsEarned28%Hangar oddsEarned