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Red142
11843.8
62455.8
99858.5
Blue95
288129.1
147732.8
998712.5
75%Model gave it25%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1197105010015020025014295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#1
55.80.8
55.456.1
Auto15.2
Teleop28.6
End11.8
red by 22.9
32.80.5
32.633.1
Auto10.1
Teleop15.4
End7.3
Second
118
#3
43.80.8
43.444.2
Auto8.9
Teleop23.1
End11.7
red by 14.7
2881
#10
29.10.5
28.929.4
Auto7.2
Teleop11.0
End10.8
Third
9985
#26
8.50.8
8.18.9
Auto4.1
Teleop4.0
End0.8
blue by 4.0
9987
#17
12.50.5
12.212.7
Auto4.1
Teleop2.9
End5.7