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Red78
637726.5
817719.6
147732.8
Blue44
99909.7
32423.8
419223.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103630501502007844

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.80.9
34.833.9
Auto10.1
Teleop15.4
End7.3
red by 9.1
324
#7
23.81.5
27.425.9
Auto9.4
Teleop8.3
End6.0
Second
6377
#11
26.50.9
29.428.4
Auto8.8
Teleop11.1
End6.5
red by 2.9
4192
#13
23.61.5
28.026.5
Auto4.4
Teleop11.0
End8.1
Third
8177
#19
19.60.9
27.526.6
Auto5.8
Teleop7.1
End6.7
red by 10.0
9990
#16
9.72.6
11.69.1
Auto1.3
Teleop6.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
69%Cargo oddsEarned41%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
92%Hangar oddsMissed71%Hangar oddsEarned