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Red30
258717.3
85159.3
637726.5
Blue50
636917.4
32423.8
463918.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62940501502003050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6377
#11
26.52.1
28.426.3
Auto8.8
Teleop11.1
End6.5
red by 2.7
324
#7
23.83.0
25.923.0
Auto9.4
Teleop8.3
End6.0
Second
2587
#14
17.32.1
21.919.8
Auto8.2
Teleop0.3
End8.6
blue by 1.6
18.93.0
33.130.1
Auto3.6
Teleop9.2
End6.0
Third
8515
#12
9.32.1
11.39.2
Auto2.0
Teleop3.7
End3.5
blue by 8.1
6369
#22
17.43.0
23.320.4
Auto8.4
Teleop1.4
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
33%Cargo oddsMissed70%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
74%Hangar oddsMissed89%Hangar oddsMissed