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Red64
99919.9
463918.9
542719.2
Blue44
541426.3
384726.7
589216.6
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5810901001506444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5427
#15
19.20.4
22.121.7
Auto6.5
Teleop5.8
End6.7
blue by 7.5
3847
#28
26.73.4
43.840.4
Auto6.1
Teleop13.5
End7.1
Second
18.90.4
34.534.1
Auto3.6
Teleop9.2
End6.0
blue by 7.4
26.33.4
35.632.2
Auto8.7
Teleop9.7
End7.9
Third
9991
#25
9.90.7
13.412.7
Auto1.1
Teleop6.2
End2.7
blue by 6.7
5892
#18
16.63.4
16.112.7
Auto4.5
Teleop8.6
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
31%Cargo oddsMissed92%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
54%Hangar oddsEarned89%Hangar oddsMissed