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Red38
258717.3
589216.6
81508.3
Blue60
32423.8
384726.7
817719.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34990501502003860

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2587
#14
17.30.0
19.219.2
Auto8.2
Teleop0.3
End8.6
blue by 9.5
3847
#28
26.71.6
34.733.1
Auto6.1
Teleop13.5
End7.1
Second
5892
#18
16.60.0
13.613.6
Auto4.5
Teleop8.6
End3.5
blue by 7.2
324
#7
23.81.6
23.021.3
Auto9.4
Teleop8.3
End6.0
Third
8150
#27
8.30.0
5.65.5
Auto4.7
Teleop0.7
End2.9
blue by 11.4
8177
#19
19.61.6
26.624.9
Auto5.8
Teleop7.1
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed85%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsMissed87%Hangar oddsMissed