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Red93
45623.5
85159.3
62455.8
Blue68
99909.7
99919.9
11843.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98600501502009368

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#1
55.80.3
56.256.4
Auto15.2
Teleop28.6
End11.8
red by 11.9
118
#3
43.80.0
47.647.6
Auto8.9
Teleop23.1
End11.7
Second
456
#6
23.50.3
19.119.3
Auto6.5
Teleop10.8
End6.2
red by 13.6
9991
#25
9.90.0
12.312.3
Auto1.1
Teleop6.2
End2.7
Third
8515
#12
9.30.3
9.910.2
Auto2.0
Teleop3.7
End3.5
blue by 0.4
9990
#16
9.70.0
8.18.1
Auto1.3
Teleop6.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
98%Cargo oddsEarned61%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
60%Hangar oddsEarned60%Hangar oddsEarned