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Red49
99858.5
541426.3
258717.3
Blue80
999914.6
99909.7
45623.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions522601001502004980

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.30.2
24.224.0
Auto8.7
Teleop9.7
End7.9
red by 2.8
456
#6
23.53.2
16.719.9
Auto6.5
Teleop10.8
End6.2
Second
2587
#14
17.30.2
16.216.0
Auto8.2
Teleop0.3
End8.6
red by 2.7
9999
#21
14.64.2
10.815.0
Auto3.1
Teleop11.5
End0.3
Third
9985
#26
8.50.3
7.67.3
Auto4.1
Teleop4.0
End0.8
blue by 1.2
9990
#16
9.74.2
5.19.3
Auto1.3
Teleop6.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
32%Cargo oddsMissed22%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
46%Hangar oddsMissed13%Hangar oddsMissed