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Red52
384726.7
99909.7
85159.3
Blue65
32423.8
637726.5
99858.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions475602040801001201405265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3847
#28
26.70.2
25.826.0
Auto6.1
Teleop13.5
End7.1
red by 0.2
6377
#11
26.50.5
24.725.1
Auto8.8
Teleop11.1
End6.5
Second
9990
#16
9.70.3
9.39.6
Auto1.3
Teleop6.0
End2.7
blue by 14.1
324
#7
23.80.5
22.122.6
Auto9.4
Teleop8.3
End6.0
Third
8515
#12
9.30.2
9.29.5
Auto2.0
Teleop3.7
End3.5
red by 0.8
9985
#26
8.50.6
7.37.9
Auto4.1
Teleop4.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
33%Cargo oddsMissed20%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
42%Hangar oddsEarned31%Hangar oddsMissed