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Red47
384726.7
99919.9
99858.5
Blue51
81508.3
998712.5
637726.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414502060801004751

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3847
#28
26.70.3
26.025.7
Auto6.1
Teleop13.5
End7.1
red by 0.2
6377
#11
26.50.5
25.125.6
Auto8.8
Teleop11.1
End6.5
Second
9991
#25
9.90.4
10.29.9
Auto1.1
Teleop6.2
End2.7
blue by 2.6
9987
#17
12.50.6
11.712.2
Auto4.1
Teleop2.9
End5.7
Third
9985
#26
8.50.4
7.97.5
Auto4.1
Teleop4.0
End0.8
red by 0.2
8150
#27
8.30.5
6.67.1
Auto4.7
Teleop0.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
34%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed15%Hangar oddsEarned