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Red122
11843.8
62455.8
99858.5
Blue64
636917.4
45623.5
582916.4
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12152010015020025012264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#1
55.80.4
55.055.4
Auto15.2
Teleop28.6
End11.8
red by 32.3
456
#6
23.50.2
23.323.5
Auto6.5
Teleop10.8
End6.2
Second
118
#3
43.80.4
43.143.4
Auto8.9
Teleop23.1
End11.7
red by 26.4
6369
#22
17.40.2
17.217.4
Auto8.4
Teleop1.4
End7.5
Third
9985
#26
8.50.4
7.78.1
Auto4.1
Teleop4.0
End0.8
blue by 7.9
5829
#20
16.40.2
16.216.4
Auto5.9
Teleop4.2
End6.2