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Red68
712116.5
303523.0
712512.3
Blue46
271413.5
543120.4
874910.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions574502040801006846

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.00.4
23.023.4
Auto7.3
Teleop9.2
End6.5
red by 2.6
20.40.0
20.420.4
Auto5.2
Teleop6.1
End9.1
Second
7121
#12
16.50.4
16.516.8
Auto4.4
Teleop6.4
End5.6
red by 3.0
2714
#23
13.50.0
13.513.5
Auto3.1
Teleop6.4
End4.0
Third
7125
#16
12.30.4
12.312.6
Auto3.4
Teleop5.6
End3.3
red by 2.2
8749
#30
10.10.0
10.010.1
Auto3.3
Teleop2.1
End4.6